Summer expected to be warmer than normal
© Old Farmer's Almanac photo
While Environment Canada is suggesting a warmer than normal summer, the Canadian edition of the Old Farmer's Almanac is suggesting a cooler summer.
AMHERST – It’s shaping up to be a great summer for outdoor enthusiasts, but not so good for farmers and those who rely on the rain.
While Environment Canada’s summer forecast doesn’t officially come out until early June, senior climatologist David Phillips is predicting a summer similar to last year for Atlantic Canada.
“The flavour or personality of the summer appears to be warmer than normal,” Phillips said. “It would be too much to expect the same summer as last year, which was the warmest on record, but this will among the top 10.”
The next few weeks, he said, are expected to be slightly cooler, but most of June and July and August will be warmer than normal.
As for precipitation, Phillips said it’s hard to predict how much rain will fall, but the models are suggesting normal rainfall during the summer months.
However, with temperatures being up, Phillips said chances are it could be stormier than normal.
“That area is not a hotbed for severe weather, but you do get your share of it,” he said. “Since 1995 we have been in a period of more active tropical storms and my sense is that’s an issue we will have to deal with as the season progresses. You will have some weather, but it won’t be something in which you’ll have to hide under the bed.”
Phillips said Environment Canada’s models are buoyed by those in the United States that are also calling for a warmer summer for the Atlantic region.
Accuweather.com is predicting Canada as a whole will experience a more typical summer, especially compared to the record heat of 2012. Still, forecasters there are predicting a summer that will rank among the warmest on record.
It is also forecasting near normal rainfall for much of the region and is suggesting a normal year for hurricanes and tropical storms along the Atlantic coast.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, on the other hand, is suggesting a cooler than normal summer through most of the region and less normal rainfall.