What to expect out of fall

Jocelyn Turner
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Wayne Ibbitson takes advantage of the warm fall weather by using his bike to run his errands. The warm weather trend could remain in the Cumberland County area for a while.

AMHERST – With record numbers of rain for the month of September, many could be worrying that Maritimers will pay for the recent mild weather with a vicious winter.  David Phillips, senior climatologist with Environment Canada, said Cumberland County might be surprised by the winter weather that’s in store.

“It’s like a tug of war out there between a summer that wants to hang on and a winter that wants to get a foothold,” he said. “Because of the warm waters, the summer-like weather will hang on a little longer, delaying the arrival of winter.”

In the next few weeks, Phillips said Cumberland County residents and Maritimers will continue to see mild weather. September has also brought in the highest amount of rain in 60 years.

“There was over 300 milliliters of rain compared to last years which was 273 milliliters of rain,” he said. “What we’re seeing is, I think, a typical kind of October where you’re going to get a variety of weather. You’re going to get some American air (warmer weather) with temperatures that are 18 or 19 degrees”

After a couple of days of the warmer weather, Phillips said the usually Maritime (colder) weather will set it. Although there will be a significant drop, the weather will still be warmer than normal.

“Typically, the good weather comes one or two days at a time and then you get the seasoned weather and then you’re back at the good weather.”

Phillips said in the past 90 years, there have been 58 Octobers with no snow and at least five Novembers without snow. This year, Cumberland County cheated nature and has not had any frost as of late. Usually, Phillips said, frost rolls in around the Sept. 20. With the latest weather trend, he said he doubts there will be any frost in the very near future.

“The winter like days are coming but not for a while yet.”

jturner@amherstdaily.com

Organizations: Environment Canada

Geographic location: Cumberland County

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  • wake up
    October 13, 2012 - 11:29

    This guy better get another job. We have had 5 days of frost so far with more to come. We also had over 400 mL of rain in September